The 3 facts that guarantee the Kansas City Chiefs victory over the Houston Texans in the Playoffs

The 2025 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round will begin with the duel between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium this Saturday, January 18 at 3:30 p.m. (CDMX). Although the game has not yet been played, the previous data, the history of both teams and the bookmakers point to the Chiefs being the favorites to advance to the next stage.

1. Patrick Mahomes' dominance at Arrowhead in the postseason
Since Patrick Mahomes won his first Super Bowl ring in 2020 against the 49ers, the quarterback has proven to be practically unbeatable at home during the playoffs. In his eight postseason games at Arrowhead, Mahomes has won seven, falling only to the Cincinnati Bengals in the 2022 Championship Game, and that loss was in overtime.

Among the Chiefs' victims at Arrowhead are the Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins. The Chiefs will also be coming into this game rested after avoiding the Wild Card Round thanks to their AFC-best 15-2 record.

2. The Texans' historic barrier in the Divisional Round
The Houston Texans have never made it past the Divisional Round in their six attempts. Since their first appearance in this instance in 2011 against the Baltimore Ravens (20-13), the Texan franchise has accumulated consecutive losses:

2012 and 2016 against the New England Patriots (41-28 and 34-16).
2019 against the Kansas City Chiefs (51-31).
2023 against the Baltimore Ravens (34-10).
This historic inability to advance to the conference final puts the Texans at a disadvantage against a team like the Chiefs, who are just three games away from an unprecedented three-peat.

3. Patrick Mahomes' record against the Texans
Patrick Mahomes has faced the Texans on five occasions, with a record of four consecutive victories after having lost the first game. Among these victories stands out the duel of the 2019 Divisional Round, in which the Chiefs beat the Texans by 51-31.

In that meeting, Mahomes had a spectacular performance, throwing five touchdown passes and accumulating 53 yards on the ground in seven carries. Travis Kelce was his main partner, with three receptions for touchdowns, while Blake Bell and Damien Williams also added points.

The stage at Arrowhead
Arrowhead Stadium, with a capacity of 76,416 fans, will be a key factor for the Chiefs, who have always defined their game at home as the first seed in the AFC. Everything indicates that the Texans will face not only the talent of Mahomes and company, but also a hostile environment and a history that plays against them.

With these data, the Chiefs seem to have secured victory and will continue advancing in search of the longed-for three-peat.